NFL 2025 Season Super Bowl Picks

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Seahawks 29 @ Patriots 13
Sun, 2/8/26 5:30pm


6 Picks - 100%	0 Picks - 0%

Seahawks

Week Record

1 - 0
1.000
First Place

Season Record

186 - 98
0.655

182 - 102
0.641

185 - 99
0.651

157 - 114
0.579

Scotttime Record

3399 - 1998
0.630

3279 - 2118
0.608

3409 - 1988
0.632

3312 - 2072
0.615

No-Pack-Vike Record

3619 - 2077
0.635

3535 - 2161
0.621

3637 - 2059
0.638

3510 - 2175
0.617

Lifetime Record

4076 - 2388
0.631

3890 - 2574
0.602

4079 - 2385
0.631

3971 - 2480
0.616

Other Nut Canner Picks

Trampas

Seahawks

Week:	1 - 0 1.000
Season:	187 - 97 0.658
Lifetime:	2814 - 1504 0.652

Puntthis

Seahawks

Week:	1 - 0 1.000
Season:	170 - 111 0.605
Lifetime:	356 - 207 0.632

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Seahawks 29 @ Patriots 13

Jon

The general population seems to be fairly united in predicting a Seahawks victory here, and I suppose that's sort of understandable. But it also gives me a bit of pause. Seems like a warning sign to reconsider what we know and what we think we know about the teams. My initial reaction was to pick the Seahawks, too, but I doubt there's a whole lot separating these two teams. But who has the time to dig into it? Well, it's 2026 so I used AI to help me research my pick. Note: I did not use it to actually make the pick. I did that myself. And I didn't use it to compose any of this, because technology could not possibly improve upon my prose. But I let it find some answers to the key questions I had about the two teams and how they match up. And here's what I found: Drew Bledsoe should perform well against Brian Bosworth and lead his team to victory over the Supersonics.

Oh, I kid, of course. But I really did use Google's AI to gather some data, and like any good end user, did zero verification of the output. That's right, I'm barreling down the information superhighway with no seatbelt.

Much has been made of the Patriots' easy road to the Super Bowl, but I don't think anyone should put too much weight on that. My google machine tells me Seattle and New England had 7 common opponents this season. That's a decent chunk of the schedule. They both went 6-1 in those games with the Patriots losing to the Steelers and the Seahawks losing to Tampa Bay. Overall, the Seahawks fared better in point differential in those games, but they clearly both performed about the same against the same opponents. My non-artificial intelligence has often come to the conclusion that winning the "should win" games on the schedule is something the good teams consistently do that most of the lesser teams actually don't. Also, the Patriots weren't playing the MAC conference. They were beating NFL teams with NFL players. But even if you do believe the Jets are sub-NFL level, remember that Brady's teams routinely had 5 to 6 "free" division wins and didn't embarrass themselves in the big games when the competition got tougher. You gotta be good to win all those games.

Defense wins championships. I do mostly believe that and the ones and zeros tell me that the Seahawks have the best defense in terms of opponent scoring, which is a pretty strong indicator of postseason success. But the Patriots weren't slouches, either, so I think it's fair to take that with a grain of salt. What about QB pressures? Well, Seahawks were terrific at creating pressures, and did so rushing only four, which to me is basically the gold standard of defense. So big ups to them on this. That said, their pressure rate wasn't too much higher than the Patriots' rate. Something like 39-ish to 38-ish, if memory serves. (If memory doesn't serve, I blame AI.) So could this be a case of two championship-caliber defenses squaring off? It kind of seems that way.

So let's take a look at the offenses. The Seahawks have the advantage here, it seems. But do they? If QB pressures are the name of the game, maybe the QB who handles pressure the best will be the determining factor. Well, wouldn't you know it, young Drake Maye actually was the best QB when pressured this season by at least one metric out on the internet. Advantage Patriots? Maybe. It seems his success stemmed a lot from blitz situations where there was at least one extra rusher on defense, meaning he could complete passes if he found the open guy(s), which he did, regularly, often by throwing deep. But as stated recently, the Seahawks create pressure by rushing the minimum, which means there may not be such an obvious open receiver and the defense won't be vulnerable to the deep ball. Can the Patriots survive on the dink and dunks and their running game? I have no idea. But as a Rhamondre Stevenson fantasy manager this season, I can tell you, he usually only did well against bad defenses, so I wouldn't count on him to do too much heavy lifting. But wait! Young Drake has legs. He can run for first downs. And, it seems crazy, but the Seahawks were among the worst defenses against QB runs. And remember, too, that Drake Maye was basically an MVP-level player this year. A good defense can make even the best look bad, but I also wouldn't be surprised if he made the Seattle defense look less than great at times.

So what about Darnold? Well, first, congrats to him. Loved him on the Vikings. Will be cheering for him. He has obviously been able to put some things together and is experiencing some of the success he was predicted to have coming out of college. But he did have 14 interceptions this year. And six fumbles lost. I think he led the league in turnovers. This Patriots team has a good defense. This might not be smooth sailing at all.

OK, enough analysis. Here's my prediction. Seahawks in a close, defensive game. Why the Seahawks? Well it mostly comes down to their strength getting to the QB while rushing four paired with the Patriots having some weakness on the offensive line. The Seahawks could have plenty of challenges of their own, but if that one aspect plays out to their advantage, they'll have their opportunities over the course of four quarters to make some big defensive plays that can decide the game.