NFL 2017 Season Week 3 Picks

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Our freshest batch of picks are the NFL 2017 Season Week 7 Picks.

Jeremy's PicksMatt's PicksJon's PicksSarah's Picks
Rams 41 @ 49ers 39
Final
Thu, 9/21/17 7:25pm
10 Picks - 83% 2 Picks - 17%
Rams
Rams
Rams
Rams
Rams
Rams
Rams
Rams
Ravens 7 @ Jaguars 44
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 8:30am
11 Picks - 92% 1 Pick - 8%
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Giants 24 @ Eagles 27
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 12:00pm
0 Picks - 0% 12 Picks - 100%
Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Dolphins 6 @ Jets 20
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 12:00pm
12 Picks - 100% 0 Picks - 0%
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Texans 33 @ Patriots 36
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 12:00pm
0 Picks - 0% 12 Picks - 100%
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Buccaneers 17 @ Vikings 34
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 12:00pm
6 Picks - 50% 6 Picks - 50%
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Buccaneers
Buccaneers
Falcons 30 @ Lions 26
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 12:00pm
8 Picks - 67% 4 Picks - 33%
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Falcons
Browns 28 @ Colts 31
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 12:00pm
6 Picks - 50% 6 Picks - 50%
Colts
Colts
Browns
Browns
Browns
Browns
Browns
Browns
Steelers 17 @ Bears 23
final overtime
Sun, 9/24/17 12:00pm
12 Picks - 100% 0 Picks - 0%
Steelers
Steelers
Steelers
Steelers
Steelers
Steelers
Steelers
Steelers
Saints 34 @ Panthers 13
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 12:00pm
0 Picks - 0% 12 Picks - 100%
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Broncos 16 @ Bills 26
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 12:00pm
12 Picks - 100% 0 Picks - 0%
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Broncos
Seahawks 27 @ Titans 33
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 3:05pm
9 Picks - 75% 3 Picks - 25%
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Titans
Titans
Seahawks
Seahawks
Bengals 24 @ Packers 27
final overtime
Sun, 9/24/17 3:25pm
1 Pick - 8% 11 Picks - 92%
Packers
Packers
Bengals
Bengals
Packers
Packers
Packers
Packers
Chiefs 24 @ Chargers 10
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 3:25pm
11 Picks - 92% 1 Pick - 8%
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Raiders 10 @ Redskins 27
Final
Sun, 9/24/17 7:30pm
10 Picks - 83% 2 Picks - 17%
Raiders
Raiders
Raiders
Raiders
Raiders
Raiders
Raiders
Raiders
Cowboys 28 @ Cardinals 17
Final
Mon, 9/25/17 7:30pm
8 Picks - 67% 4 Picks - 33%
Cowboys
Cowboys
Cowboys
Cowboys
Cowboys
Cowboys
Cardinals
Cardinals
Week Record9 - 7
0.562
7 - 9
0.438
9 - 7
0.562
6 - 10
0.375
Season Record28 - 19
0.596
29 - 18
0.617
31 - 16
0.660
27 - 20
0.575
Scotttime Record1857 - 1121
0.624
1787 - 1191
0.600
1848 - 1130
0.621
1867 - 1111
0.627
No-Pack-Vike Record2276 - 1335
0.630
2213 - 1398
0.613
2283 - 1328
0.632
2261 - 1350
0.626
Lifetime Record2534 - 1511
0.626
2398 - 1647
0.593
2518 - 1527
0.623
2526 - 1519
0.625
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Other Nut Canner Picks
scott.jpg
Rams
Ravens
Eagles
Dolphins
Patriots
Vikings
Falcons
Colts
Steelers
Panthers
Broncos
Titans
Packers
Chiefs
Redskins
Cowboys

Week:11 - 5
0.688
Season:31 - 16
0.660
Lifetime:1861 - 1093
0.630
image.jpeg
Rams
Ravens
Eagles
Dolphins
Patriots
Vikings
Lions
Colts
Steelers
Panthers
Broncos
Titans
Packers
Chargers
Redskins
Cardinals

Week:8 - 8
0.500
Season:28 - 19
0.596
Lifetime:893 - 583
0.605
skull full.jpg
Rams
Ravens
Eagles
Dolphins
Patriots
Buccaneers
Falcons
Colts
Steelers
Panthers
Broncos
Seahawks
Packers
Chiefs
Raiders
Cardinals

Week:7 - 9
0.438
Season:29 - 18
0.617
Lifetime:872 - 527
0.623
FB_IMG_1499398490950.jpg
Rams
Ravens
Eagles
Dolphins
Patriots
Buccaneers
Lions
Colts
Steelers
Panthers
Broncos
Seahawks
Packers
Chiefs
Raiders
Cardinals

Week:6 - 10
0.375
Season:27 - 20
0.575
Lifetime:1238 - 793
0.610
question_mark.gif
Rams
Ravens
Eagles
Dolphins
Patriots
Buccaneers
Lions
Browns
Steelers
Panthers
Broncos
Seahawks
Packers
Chiefs
Raiders
Cowboys

Week:6 - 10
0.375
Season:27 - 20
0.575
Lifetime:1276 - 694
0.648
hambone.jpg
Rams
Ravens
Eagles
Dolphins
Patriots
Buccaneers
Falcons
Colts
Steelers
Panthers
Broncos
Seahawks
Packers
Chiefs
Raiders
Cowboys

Week:8 - 8
0.500
Season:28 - 19
0.596
Lifetime:1223 - 680
0.643
1441860133743826163568.jpg
49ers
Jaguars
Eagles
Dolphins
Patriots
Vikings
Falcons
Browns
Steelers
Panthers
Broncos
Seahawks
Packers
Chiefs
Raiders
Cowboys

Week:8 - 8
0.500
Season:28 - 18
0.609
Lifetime:533 - 310
0.632
question_mark.gif
49ers
Ravens
Eagles
Dolphins
Patriots
Buccaneers
Lions
Browns
Steelers
Panthers
Broncos
Seahawks
Packers
Chiefs
Raiders
Cowboys

Week:5 - 11
0.312
Season:23 - 24
0.489
Lifetime:23 - 24
0.489
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Rams 41 @ 49ers 39

jon.jpg
Jon
I mean, seriously.
sarah.jpg
Sarah
LA seems really excited to have 2 football teams, or whatever the opposite of that is.

Buccaneers 17 @ Vikings 34

jon.jpg
Jon
Twins are close to the playoffs.
sarah.jpg
Sarah
Pillagers.

Bengals 24 @ Packers 27

jon.jpg
Jon
Cincinnati in a terrible sports slump while Cleveland is in its glory days.
sarah.jpg
Sarah
Comeback?

Raiders 10 @ Redskins 27

jon.jpg
Jon
West coast going east makes me hesitant, but, meh. Oh, also it's a night game so that doesn't matter.
sarah.jpg
Sarah
Offensive!

Cowboys 28 @ Cardinals 17

jon.jpg
Jon
Emmitt Smith must feel like the Mannings or Harbaughs when these teams play.
sarah.jpg
Sarah
Punctuation
hoochpage.JPGSarah - So's your face
09/19/2017 @ 08:05:29 PM
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Picks are where it's at!
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scott.jpgScott - 6215 Posts
09/20/2017 @ 09:38:11 AM
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I'm going to go on record to say that the Packers-Falcons game wasn't as bad as it looked. Rodgers seems to think he has to give up a huge turnover to the falcons in every game these days, and if you factor the 3 really questionable pick plays (2 called against the packers, 1 not called against the Falcons that was the exact same thing the Packers got called for doing), things may have been really different. If the first pick penalty wasn't called, the Rodgers doesn't throw an INT deep in Packers territory and the Packers are moving beyond midfield with a minute left in the half, possibly making it a 17-14 or 17-10 game. Instead, 2 plays later, interception....then touchdown falcons on a play with a "pick" that the Packers got called for about 5 plays earlier this time allowed. That's not to say that the Packers don't have some issues to address against an elite team, but if a couple of bad breaks here and there, a bunch of dropped passes, and starting without your 2 tackles, and losing your top 2 WRs and best defensive player and only lose by 11 is reason to not be too alarmed. *removes rose glasses now*
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - 8803 Posts
09/20/2017 @ 09:53:09 AM
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To be fair part of the reason they "only lost by 11" was the Falcons could play prevent defense for basically an entire half while their offense could play more conservatively, learning their lesson from the Superbowl where if they hand off once, accidentally using time on the clock, the game is probably over. They were at 99% win expectancy at basically halftime, and, unlike the SB, the needle never budged.

I think a reasonable person could content it was actually worse than it looked.
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scott.jpgScott - On your mark...get set...Terrible!
09/20/2017 @ 12:02:51 PM
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There might be truth to that too. But before they played their prevent defense, the score could somewhat easily have been 17-14 (or 17-10) instead of 24-7 at half-time. A lot turned in the last 2 minutes of the first half on series of awful breaks that all went against the Packers (the pick call that shouldn't have been and the int that wouldn't have happened if the pick call wasn't called). So if you discount completely the good breaks Atlanta got in the last 60 seconds, then yes, it could have been worse for the Packers. I stand by my statement. The reasons that the Packers fell behind 24-7 at halftime seem to be very correctable. That was really my main point. They weren't necessarily being manhandled. The 24-7 score at halftime was essentially an artificially inflated score; 17-14 at half would have made the 2nd half play out a lot differently. I'm mostly saying that I don't see any reason to Packer fans to panic.
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scott.jpgScott - On your mark...get set...Terrible!
09/20/2017 @ 12:13:36 PM
 Quote this comment
at the 2 minute mark with the packers down 10, their win probability was at 12%. Here is the win probabilities based on the possible scenarios I mentioned above:

packers score TD on that final drive (down 3 points), start the 2nd half with 34% win probability and the ball
Packers kick FG on that final drive (down 7 points), start 2nd half with 20% win probability and the ball
Instead, bad call leads to bad int leads to falcons TD (down 17 points), packers start the 2nd half with a 3% win probability

So if being down 3 points at halftime when the other team is favored by 3 points is only a 34% win probability, then I contend that this confirms my original statement that it wasn't as bad as it looked.
While even being down 3 at half when the other team is favored by 3 points doesn't give you a great win probability number, that 60 second stretch had an enormous impact on the predicted outcome.

I'm not discounting the way the 2nd half actually played out, especially the fumble-td right off the bat. Basically, a 2 minute stretch made the game go from the Packers possibly being down by 3 to the Packers being down by 17 based on comedy of crappy (some self-inflicted) breaks.

(just for kicks, if the score was somehow tied at halftime, the packers still would have only had a 46% win probability).

I used this: http://pfref.com/tiny/ygwa7
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - The pig says "My wife is a slut?"
09/20/2017 @ 01:24:32 PM
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I'm a fairly big believer in the idea that a couple small things can cause a whole death spiral.

I guess 2 points

1) I suppose I was addressing it from the POV of seeing a lot of "the Packers almost came back!" type posts. Which, no, they kind of didn't. That didn't stop anyone from bracing for it, but "lol it IS the Falcons" jokes aside, the Packers didn't really meaningfully "make it a close game". The Falcons' opponent was the clock for the entire second half, and by and large they learned their lesson from the Superbowl. All they had to do was maintain the ball safely and eat clock, and make sure if they did score, the Packers took enough time to do it that the "scores they need / time left" math kept tilting in their favor.

2) You can probably do this with any game. Even the Vikings game without the QB that just lit up SNF because we can't have nice things can boil down to a couple things that alter the whole game. Our most veteran defensive lineman jumped offsides in a "there's no way they snap this, and we kind of want them to if they're dumb enough" 4 and 1 way in their territory. And this getting called OPI and ending a key drive.
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Jeremy perfected this 3 times, last at 09/20/2017 1:29:20 pm
scott.jpgScott - If you aren't enough without it, you'll never be enough with it.
09/20/2017 @ 02:10:23 PM
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This game pivoted on a series of worst case scenario actions that spanned a total of 2 minutes of actual game time, essentially a possible swing of 20-24 points in a matter of 120 seconds. Even as my admittedly rose colored perspective goes, this was a rather severe turn of events that I wouldn't be making in other Packer games in which they appear to have been dominated from the start. My point isn't to nitpick "if this play goes this way" and "if that call goes that way" thing. My only point is really very simple: it wasn't quite as bad as it looked or felt.

I don't think it's really accurate either to suggest that the Packers "almost came back". Had they forced the Falcons to 3 and out and gotten the ball back with 4 minutes left instead of giving up 3 first downs and getting it back with less than 1 minute left, and then scored to make it a 4 point game....and then recovered an onside kick, then you could say they "almost came back".
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sarah.jpgSarah - 3908 Posts
09/24/2017 @ 10:31:50 AM
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Why did all of us but 1 person pick the Ravens again? Jaguars LOVE London!
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