NFL 2006 Season Week 3 Picks

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Jeremy's PicksMatt's PicksJon's PicksSarah's Picks
Jets 28 @ Bills 20
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 12:00pm
2 Picks - 25% 6 Picks - 75%
Bills
Bills
Jets
Jets
Bills
Bills
Jets
Jets
Bengals 28 @ Steelers 20
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 12:00pm
4 Picks - 50% 4 Picks - 50%
Bengals
Bengals
Steelers
Steelers
Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Jaguars 14 @ Colts 21
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 12:00pm
2 Picks - 25% 6 Picks - 75%
Colts
Colts
Colts
Colts
Colts
Colts
Jaguars
Jaguars
Titans 10 @ Dolphins 13
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 12:00pm
1 Pick - 13% 7 Picks - 87%
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Dolphins
Panthers 26 @ Buccaneers 24
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 12:00pm
7 Picks - 88% 1 Pick - 12%
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Packers 31 @ Lions 24
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 12:00pm
3 Picks - 38% 5 Picks - 62%
Lions
Lions
Lions
Lions
Lions
Lions
Packers
Packers
Bears 19 @ Vikings 16
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 12:00pm
4 Picks - 50% 4 Picks - 50%
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Vikings
Redskins 31 @ Texans 15
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 12:00pm
6 Picks - 75% 2 Picks - 25%
Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
Texans
Texans
Ravens 15 @ Browns 14
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 3:05pm
8 Picks - 100% 0 Picks - 0%
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Eagles 38 @ 49ers 24
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 3:15pm
7 Picks - 88% 1 Pick - 12%
Eagles
Eagles
49ers
49ers
Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Giants 30 @ Seahawks 42
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 3:15pm
1 Pick - 13% 7 Picks - 87%
Seahawks
Seahawks
Giants
Giants
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Rams 16 @ Cardinals 14
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 3:15pm
1 Pick - 13% 7 Picks - 87%
Cardinals
Cardinals
Rams
Rams
Cardinals
Cardinals
Cardinals
Cardinals
Broncos 17 @ Patriots 7
Final
Sun, 9/24/06 7:15pm
0 Picks - 0% 8 Picks - 100%
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Falcons 3 @ Saints 23
Final
Mon, 9/25/06 7:30pm
4 Picks - 50% 4 Picks - 50%
Falcons
Falcons
Saints
Saints
Falcons
Falcons
Saints
Saints
Week Record8 - 6
0.571
8 - 6
0.571
8 - 6
0.571
9 - 5
0.643
Season Record31 - 15
0.674
28 - 18
0.609
31 - 15
0.674
29 - 17
0.630
No-Pack-Vike Record2517 - 1476
0.630
2447 - 1546
0.613
2530 - 1463
0.634
2492 - 1501
0.624
Lifetime Record708 - 405
0.636
639 - 474
0.574
701 - 412
0.630
688 - 425
0.618
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Other Nut Canner Picks
scott.jpg
Bills
Steelers
Colts
Dolphins
Buccaneers
Packers
Bears
Redskins
Ravens
Eagles
Seahawks
Cardinals
Patriots
Falcons

Week:8 - 6
0.571
Season:28 - 18
0.609
Lifetime:28 - 18
0.609
newalex.jpg
Bills
Bengals
Colts
Dolphins
Panthers
Packers
Bears
Texans
Ravens
Eagles
Seahawks
Cardinals
Patriots
Saints

Week:10 - 4
0.714
Season:27 - 19
0.587
Lifetime:27 - 19
0.587
reign_of_fire_150.jpg
Bills
Steelers
Jaguars
Dolphins
Panthers
Lions
Bears
Redskins
Ravens
Eagles
Seahawks
Cardinals
Patriots
Falcons

Week:7 - 7
0.500
Season:29 - 16
0.644
Lifetime:29 - 16
0.644
goodlooking.jpg
Bills
Steelers
Colts
Titans
Panthers
Lions
Bears
Redskins
Ravens
Eagles
Seahawks
Cardinals
Patriots
Saints

Week:8 - 6
0.571
Season:31 - 15
0.674
Lifetime:31 - 15
0.674
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Packers 31 @ Lions 24

jeremy.jpg
Jeremy
If football teams were people and losing teams were ill the doctor would prescribe a game against the Detroit Lions. Not because they're ever the worst team, but because they always play a hard fought game. They also always find some way to snatch defeat from victory in the end, leaving your team with a false sense of accomplishment.
matt.jpg
Matt
Remember when Barry Sanders was robbed of his rightful place as the outright 1997 NFL MVP? I still do.
jon.jpg
Jon
Battle for last place. Kitna could easily pick apart the Packers I think.
sarah.jpg
Sarah
I'm giving them one more shot to get me a win. After this week though, I'm picking against them. If Favre throws a TD pass in this game, he'll be only the 2nd QB in NFL history to have thrown 400 TDs. WTG!

Bears 19 @ Vikings 16

jeremy.jpg
Jeremy
The Vikings' offensive struggles probably wont fix themselves this week but there's something that I've seen that bugs me.

The Vikings are trying to be a hybrid 'power' team and a somewhat finesse team. I think they need to commit to one or the other. You can't play "4 yards and a cloud of dust" (or cloud of little rubber pellet) offense AND take a couple low percentage chances every drive.

Of course fans want to see the high flying offenses, but there's nothing wrong with a "4 Y.A.A.C.O.D." approach, but there is very little room for error. If your offense can only reliably get 4 yards a play then they need those 4 yards.

They are supposed to be a west coast offense but I have yet to see a single 3 step drop and the ball is out on a quick slant. Instead it's been run for 2, run some goofy ass pass requiring Brad Johnson to bootleg for 0, run for 5, and Punt.
matt.jpg
Matt
Two weeks into the season, and its still hard to figure out the Vikings' chances this season. Their defense has looked good most of the time, but their offense has been inconsistent and you have to wonder if they have enough talent to put it together and score enough against better teams.
jon.jpg
Jon
The Battle for first place. And the loser gets second. This game could tell a lot about about both teams.
sarah.jpg
Sarah
It's NFC North all wrapped into a 2 game package. Maybe Grossman will continue his streak as the best QB in the league for the 2006 season.

Broncos 17 @ Patriots 7

jeremy.jpg
Jeremy
There has to be at least one game a week I have nothing to say for. Javon Walker is a Bronco, did you guys know that?
matt.jpg
Matt
Pass
jon.jpg
Jon
Can you believe the Patriots won three Super Bowls in four years? That seems like a bigger deal in hindsight to me. The Cowboys did that too, I think.
sarah.jpg
Sarah
The team we beat in the Super Bowl 10 years ago vs the team we lost to 9 years ago. Makes you sit back and wonder where the time has gone. And why do we suck now?

Falcons 3 @ Saints 23

jeremy.jpg
Jeremy
Nothing helps people get over tragedy like the constant reminder of what happened.
matt.jpg
Matt
Football Sucks.
jon.jpg
Jon
It took a few years but I think Michael Vick's talent and hype are the closest they've ever been to equal.
sarah.jpg
Sarah
I'll be rooting for the Saints in their big homecoming game. They're trying to clean up New Orleans and who's the first team to come to the Superdome? It just doesn't seem right.
fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - Pie Racist
09/20/2006 @ 10:17:34 AM
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Any games missing this time?
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scott.jpgScott - Get Up! Get outta here! Gone!
09/20/2006 @ 10:22:26 AM
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I think they are all there. 14/14.
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reign_of_fire.jpgMicah - 584 Posts
09/20/2006 @ 01:59:52 PM
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I didn't now where else to post this as there is no longer a forum, but woe are the survivors of Junior year Chemistry...I guess we should have created the element PRN

http://www.leadertelegram.com/story.asp?id=73677
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - 8953 Posts
09/20/2006 @ 03:22:12 PM
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Yeah, I was going to make a blog about it, then I forgot.
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/20/2006 @ 03:45:02 PM
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did you guys have him in high school?
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fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - Always thinking of, but never about, the children.
09/20/2006 @ 04:37:23 PM
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Yeah, I'll make a blog about it later.
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sarah.jpgSarah - 4091 Posts
09/20/2006 @ 08:04:46 PM
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That's what united all of you guys, your 7th period chemistry class. Memorial, always something wrong over there. Glad I went to North...
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - 8953 Posts
09/20/2006 @ 09:35:16 PM
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You make it sound like we all met there.
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hoochpage.JPGSarah - How do you use these things?
09/20/2006 @ 09:42:03 PM
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Well, you didn't, but I sure heard enough about that dang class.
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reign_of_fire_150.jpgMicah - We can do this easy, or we can do it real easy
09/21/2006 @ 10:59:51 AM
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Where do you think we got all our morals?
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fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - Super Chocolate Bear
09/21/2006 @ 02:44:01 PM
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In the interest of keeping this going the Vikings and Packers are ranked 14 and 30 on the power rankings, 13 and 15th offensivly, and 7 and 27th defensively.
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/21/2006 @ 02:54:12 PM
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Let's see, Ryan Longwell leaves the Packers for the Vikings, kicks 2 game winning field goals in the first 2 weeks, throws his first career pass attempt, throws his first career completion, throws his first career touchdown pass; kicks 3 field goals, 2 extra points, and throws a touchdown in a game when the vikings scored 17 points. So in reality, the Vikings Kicker is ranked 14 among NFL teams. From the collective Packer Nation, you are welcome.
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fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - I hate our freedoms
09/21/2006 @ 03:05:56 PM
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Don't forget that pass he threw.
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hoochpage.JPGSarah - How do you use these things?
09/21/2006 @ 08:08:54 PM
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Detroit loses and the Twins are losing 4-0 man.
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hoochpage.JPGSarah - So's your face
09/24/2006 @ 12:18:59 PM
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Favre got his 400th in style. That was quite the play by Jennings!!!!
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sarah.jpgSarah - So's your face
09/24/2006 @ 12:27:43 PM
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So we just don't have a defense?
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2887.gifAlex - 3618 Posts
09/24/2006 @ 12:37:23 PM
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Carol did something good for once!
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sarah.jpgSarah - 4091 Posts
09/24/2006 @ 01:28:43 PM
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Did you just call Ahmad Carroll a girl's name?
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2887.gifAlex - 3618 Posts
09/24/2006 @ 02:07:03 PM
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I think I did.

I thought this would be the week where Houston finally turned it around. How foolish of me.
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hoochpage.JPGSarah - So's your face
09/24/2006 @ 02:56:03 PM
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2:00 warning - that was a huge stop
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hoochpage.JPGSarah - How do you use these things?
09/24/2006 @ 03:02:02 PM
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OH MY GOD
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - 8953 Posts
09/24/2006 @ 04:33:52 PM
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Speaking of snatching defeat from victory.



This isn't sour grapes because it was apparent from the get go. Both times the Bears have had a decent year the year before they have been the most annyoning, obnoxious, loudmouth pricks.



It came to a head when the guy behind me and a couple down, drunk out of his mind falls on the row ahead of him, knocking them into the row ahead of them. The guy apologises, no one says anything to him cause we're worried about the fan that got checked in the back by the 400 pound Bears fan, and the guy that he, in turn, fell completely on top of.



Again, no one said anything to him (which is a feat because he had been yelling about the Vikings sucking "giant hairy d**k" the entire game and started yelling about molesting and raping cheerleaders turing an inter-quarter cheerbreak.) He then begins to SCREAM "Oh f**k you I slipped!!" over and over again to know one in particular. And ends up screaming at the 2 guys he knocked over, despite them not doing or saying anything.
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Jeremy messed with this at 09/24/2006 4:35:33 pm
scott.jpgScott - Ma'am, can you make sure your computer is turned on?
09/24/2006 @ 05:43:46 PM
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I think bears fans are just like that. I witnessed something similar when I was at Lambeau for a Bears game. The jist of it was a bears fan just being drunk and obnoxious.

Mark the time: The vikings season is over, and the Packers are now super bowl bound!!!
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fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - No one's gay for Moleman
09/24/2006 @ 06:20:05 PM
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I can deal with obnoxiousness, you just have to do a little bit more to earn it, IMO.
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hoochpage.JPGSarah - 4091 Posts
09/24/2006 @ 06:22:38 PM
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ISO?
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scott.jpgScott - Ma'am, can you make sure your computer is turned on?
09/24/2006 @ 08:26:11 PM
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MBL?
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/24/2006 @ 08:27:45 PM
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Brett Favre is ESPN's Sunday Stud!!
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/25/2006 @ 08:45:05 AM
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Stupid Matt Hasselbeck. He goes and score a total of 13 points in the first 2 weeks compared to 45 by michael vick. So I bench Hass and what does he do? He goes and throws 5 touchdowns and score 29 points. I think Vick has a pretty good chance to put up some big numbers against the Saints, but I would have been in 2nd place already if I would have started Hass. But, I still have Vick, Bush, and Atlanta's Defense playing tonight. That should help quite a bit.
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fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - Robots don't say 'ye'
09/25/2006 @ 10:30:31 AM
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That's why you play your best players and if you lose the matchup game once in a while so be it.

In my other league my uncle benched Palmer because Kurt Warner had a better matchup (Rams) then he Palmer did (Steelers).

Palmer got 20 some points and Warner got 2.

Don't overthink it people. :)
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - I believe virtually everything I read.
09/25/2006 @ 10:44:22 AM
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When I first read your comment I thought maybe you intended to make up a new acronym. "So I benched h'ass". Then a couple mintues later I realized it was just a completely arbitrary shortning of Hasselbeck.
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/25/2006 @ 11:32:58 AM
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I wasn't really playing the matchup game, but Hass(I played hockey with a guy in high school named Hasselberger and everyone called him Hass) really hasn't been that impressive yet and Michael Vick has. Now, I don't really regret my move yet. If Vick gets about 6 points I might regret it.
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2887.gifAlex - 3618 Posts
09/25/2006 @ 01:38:15 PM
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I like to play the matchup game once in a while, because where's the fun in just playing the same lineup every week? And I would say that judging by the statistics of the first 2 weeks that the Rams pass defense is just as good as the Steelers. So I can only assume that the perceived "better matchup" was due to the general media consensus that Pitt has a good D and no one has cared about any aspect of the Rams for the last 4 years. So the real lesson here is do your homework yourself if you're going to play the matchup game.

Then there's always the gut/personal preference method. I have 5 fantasy teams and 2 salary cap teams and none of them have Hasselbeck or Vick. And honestly I'm not to sure who I would have started. Probably Hasselbeck. He was at home, the Giants got torched by McNabb last week, and even though he hadn't done much yet he's probably good enough (or at least his team is good enough) that I'd have given him one more game to do something. Vick is on the road in what will probably be the most emotionally charged game of the season, the Saints are 2-0 and sans the 1st quarter last week they look really good, so if the Saints come out blazing and get a lead then Vick has to throw a lot which could be good or bad for stats I guess. I'd say bad is more likely though. I'll go 31 - 20 Saints, 250 yds 2 picks 0 ptd and 50 yds 1 rtd for Vick. Not that anyone asked my opinion about any of this.
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/25/2006 @ 02:21:19 PM
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7 fantasy teams?!?!? how do find time to eat?
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newalex.jpgAlex - 3618 Posts
09/25/2006 @ 06:45:40 PM
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I knew I was forgetting to do something this weekend!
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scott.jpgScott - Ma'am, can you make sure your computer is turned on?
09/25/2006 @ 11:01:24 PM
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what a crappy crappy game. Not only did Vick, Bush, or atlanta's defense fail to score as many points as Hasselbeck, but I would have been in 2nd place if I would have kept Hasselbeck in the starting spot rather than giving up on him so quickly. What was I thinking?!?
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/26/2006 @ 08:06:50 AM
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I absolutely called this Jon asked me before week 1 who would be the big name player to go down, and I said Alexander. I know it's hard to prove this because I had the #3 pick in 2 leagues, but I was not going to pick Alexander because of his affiliation with the Madden cover. If I were someone's agent, I would have my players avoid the cover like the plague.
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - Broadcast in stunning 1080i
09/26/2006 @ 10:23:21 AM
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The thing with the Madden curse, how much of it is a curse and how much of it is that the whole reason you're on the cover is because you had a particularly special (and therefor hard to repeat) year the season before.

Sometimes the stars just align for teams/players. (The Bears a few years ago, Jon Kitna's "Comeback" year, ect.) Sometimes it's hard to catch that lightning in a bottle again, it doesn't have to mean a curse is involved.

In fact I'd bet you'ld be able to make an argument for a "MVP curse".
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Jeremy screwed with this 2 times, last at 09/26/2006 10:25:40 am
scott.jpgScott - Ma'am, can you make sure your computer is turned on?
09/26/2006 @ 11:09:38 AM
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But we're not just talking about having less than average years. We're talking about busts or major injuries.

Cover year, player, result the following year:

1999, Barry Sanders, retired
2000 Dorsey Levens, cut by the Packers
2002, Daunte Culpepper, started 4-7 and suffered season ending knee injury
2003, Marshall Faulk, injury; never broke 1000 yards rushing for rest of career,
2004, Michael Vick, broken fibula in preseason missed 11 games
2005, Ray Lewis, only season without an interception
2006 Donovan McNabb, injury riddled season, TO tore team apart
2007, Shaun Alexandar, broke foot in week 3

It's probably not a "curse", but I will choose again and again to avoid drafting a player who was on the previous year's cover of Madden, no matter how good the player is. It turns out it is a pretty safe bet. If you want to make an MVP curse list, go ahead. I'd be curious to see what is concluded, but I can't think of too many MVPs in recent history who were busts the next season.
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - Always thinking of, but never about, the children.
09/26/2006 @ 11:53:21 AM
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Well for starters it's a classic "problem in search of a solution". The perfect example is Ray Lewis, that's really searching for a reason to be say he's been cursed.



Bad things happened to players all the time. Daunte was often hurt, as is Donovan. Barry Sanders voluntarily retired. Dorsey F. Levens was on the cover of Madden?

It's not a let the evidence mount and come up with a pattern situation anymore, it's a we have a hypothesis and let's find any reason to support it situation.

Kinda like when Scientists get into all that "Relativity" razz-a-ma-tazz. They'll do a bunch of theoretical math. Look at it. Say "in order for this to be true there must be this weird force we can't measure." Then, rather then question the original theory, they announce there are 12 dimensions and tiny sub particles that can jump between them.
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Jeremy screwed with this at 09/26/2006 11:54:10 am
newalex.jpgAlex - 3618 Posts
09/26/2006 @ 12:59:24 PM
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I think it's more a classic "thing that makes for good conversation but no one really believes it". Except Scott apparently.

What's wrong with the theory of relativity? You'd rather be stuck in the 1600s with Newton?
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scott.jpgScott - If you aren't enough without it, you'll never be enough with it.
09/26/2006 @ 01:41:02 PM
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It's not so much that I believe it, it's more that it's been true so long. It's all hindsight, obviously, but I went into this year's drafts knowing that if I had the number 1 pick I was not going to pick Alexandar. Now, I had the number 3 pick so he was gone in both my drafts when it got to me, but LT was my number 1 rated player. Sure a lot of it is just fun conversion, and there is no real cause and effect between being on the cover of Madden and having a bad next season, but just because it isn't the cause doesn't mean that it isn't true. Basically I agree with Jeremy almost completely.

However, I could simply say, I'm going to figure out what is the fortune of players who have been featured on the Madden cover. When I see that no one has had a good year after being displayed on the cover, I use can use reason to not take my chances on a player just featured on the cover until it is proven otherwise.

I still predicted that Alexandar would be the first big name to go down and it happened, but so what if it actually had nothing to do with Madden. It's like the redskins "deciding" every presidential election since FDR up until G.W. Bush broke the trend in 2004. Although it probably something that could be altered to make it true in 2008 again, the redskins/presidential thing probably is another example of Jeremy's point, but it's still fun to talk about.

So in summary:
1. I don't actually believe in the "curse"(see also Curse of the Bambino, Cubs Goat Curse, or Curse of the Jade Scorpian)
2. I was still predicted that Alexandar would get hurt (being correct in a prediction does make a person "right" though)
3. more than 50% of people polled on ESPN actually believe the curse
4. The Packers are obviously Super Bowl bound after Sunday's win against the high powered Lions.
5. I agree with Jeremy's less-than-fully-explained theory of lack-of-relativity
6. I just used 5 hyphens in that last sentence to create 2 "words"
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Scott perfected this at 09/26/2006 1:43:57 pm
fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - 8953 Posts
09/26/2006 @ 02:10:21 PM
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It's more all the sub-fields of relativity. Like String Theory. It doesn't seem like they're making observations and then using math to explain those observations. They're coming up with math that explains one theory, but opens up a whole host of other things that have to be happening in order for that math to hold. Rather than redo the math they go about it as if the math is infallible and therefor all these other things must be true too.

I'm not really even making a judgement on whether or not I believe it at all. It just seems there are lots of people switching up the order of the steps in the scientific method.

1. Define the question
2. Form hypothesis
3. Publish results
4. Gather information and resources
5. Perform experiment and collect data
6. Analyze data
7. Interpret data and draw conclusions that serve your original hypothesis
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Jeremy screwed with this at 09/26/2006 2:11:38 pm
scott.jpgScott - Ma'am, can you make sure your computer is turned on?
09/26/2006 @ 02:18:56 PM
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is that list the "re-defined" method? Because I think gathering and analyzing data should come before publishing results. But maybe that was your point.

And I know Jon is online, so I expect a comment sooner or later.
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jeremy.jpgJeremy - Always thinking of, but never about, the children.
09/26/2006 @ 02:32:51 PM
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Yeah, that's the current model many people are following. Though it should maybe look like this:

1. Find a profitable question
2. Form half a hypothesis
3. Publish results
4. Gather information and resources
5. Perform experiment and collect data
6. Analyze data
7. Interpret data and draw conclusions that serve your original hypothesis - dont repeat.
8. ???
9. Profit
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scott.jpgScott - 6225 Posts
09/26/2006 @ 03:26:06 PM
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1) observation
2) hypothesis
3) Make prediction based on hypothesis
4) test these predictions
5) if predictions tested prove true, create theory. if predictions tested prove false, make new predictions or alter hypothesis
6) kill Osama
7) repeat step 6 several times just to be sure
8) create list about the scientific method and how some scientists have changed it recently
9) post results on NutCan


the first 5 were actually real I think
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Scott perfected this at 09/26/2006 3:26:41 pm
hoochpage.JPGSarah - How do you use these things?
09/26/2006 @ 05:53:53 PM
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yawn
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jon.jpgJon - many posts
09/26/2006 @ 05:59:43 PM
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Here are my week three thoughts.
I missed the first half of the Vikings game. I was on the road. When I got home it was 6-6 and was apparently a defensive low scoring game. Then when I started watching (at a local sports bar/restaurant), it turned into a scorefest. Ok, so mostly just a regular game. Here are some thoughts. Williamson needs to catch more balls. Too many passes go right through his hands. If he even gets his hands on it. Two, What was up with the last Vikings play? Three, Pat Williams is a stud and has been since last year. Four, Mewelde Moore made a great play that could have been a game saver, but there was a fumble that made that almost meaningless. Five, there seems to be a clear division in our division.
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question_mark.giflukaka - 1 Posts
09/27/2006 @ 09:07:11 PM
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balls
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fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - Super Chocolate Bear
09/27/2006 @ 10:45:37 PM
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Your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
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