Link Stats
Added By: Matt
Added on: 03/17/2008 @ 9:55:52 PM
Link View Count: 534
College
College
Rate this Link
Yours:

Rated 0 times.

The Lead Is Safe - How to tell when a college basketball game is out of reach

Bill James, most widely known for his pioneering work in the statistical analysis of baseball, has come up with a method for calculating when a college basketball lead is safe (i.e. not winning is extremely improbable) based on the point differential and the time left in the game.
View External Link [www.slate.com]
Back to Link List
fry6beeu9.jpgJeremy - 8821 Posts
03/18/2008 @ 10:05:05 AM
 Quote this comment
emoticon That's super interesting.
Rate this comment
Yours:

Rated 0 times.
jeremy.jpgJeremy - The pig says "My wife is a slut?"
03/18/2008 @ 10:19:17 AM
 Quote this comment
It would be cool to see this done for the NFL, if for no other reason than "who has the ball" would be a much much larger impact.
Rate this comment
Yours:

Rated 0 times.
newalex.jpgAlex - 3610 Posts
03/18/2008 @ 01:20:04 PM
 Quote this comment
I think it would generally be less meaningful for the NFL because an interception in one end zone returned 100 yards for a TD is a 14 point swing in games that often have a combined total score of 30-60 points which indicates less predictability. You'd have to somehow factor in timeouts and the 2 minute warning too. Plus with scoring options of 1, 2, 3, and 6 you'd probably have to end up with some sort of step fuction to accommodate the different deficits.

Edit: accommodate is a weird word
Rate this comment
Yours:

Rated 0 times.
Alex messed with this at 03/18/2008 1:21:28 pm
flower .jpgPackOne - Push the little daisy's and make em come up.
03/18/2008 @ 04:06:31 PM
 Quote this comment
emoticon
Rate this comment
Yours:

Rated 0 times.
scott.jpgScott - On your mark...get set...Terrible!
03/19/2008 @ 07:14:00 PM
 Quote this comment
I think I'll just keep watching until the end. You math nerds can watch it how you want.
Rate this comment
Yours:

Total:

Rated 1 times.
vignette.bmpCarlos44ec - 2078 Posts
03/20/2008 @ 07:55:53 AM
 Quote this comment
no kidding. Math and sports are interesting, but just like a joke- the more analisis you put it through the less funny/entertaining it becomes.
Rate this comment
Yours:

Rated 0 times.
newalex.jpgAlex - 3610 Posts
03/20/2008 @ 12:37:44 PM
 Quote this comment
I think Math becomes more funny/entertaining, not less.
Rate this comment
Yours:

Rated 0 times.
scott.jpgScott - 6216 Posts
03/20/2008 @ 06:03:41 PM
 Quote this comment
I actually tend to agree with Matt. My comment was mostly just for laughs. Baseball stats are by far the most entertaining thing to "manipulate" in all of sports.
Rate this comment
Yours:

Rated 0 times.
Leave a Comment of your very own
Name:
Comment:
Verify this code
Verify the Code in this box, or sign in, to post a comment.
click me!
There's an emoticon for how you feel!
click me!
My Files
Sign up, or login, to be able to upload files for Nutcan.com users to see.