Link Stats
Added By: Matt
Added on: 03/17/2008 @ 9:55:52 PM
Link View Count: 1141

College
The Lead Is Safe - How to tell when a college basketball game is out of reach
Bill James, most widely known for his pioneering work in the statistical analysis of baseball, has come up with a method for calculating when a college basketball lead is safe (i.e. not winning is extremely improbable) based on the point differential and the time left in the game.View External Link [www.slate.com]
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![]() | Jeremy - Cube Phenomenoligist 03/18/2008 @ 10:05:05 AM |
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![]() | Jeremy - 9594 Posts 03/18/2008 @ 10:19:17 AM |
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It would be cool to see this done for the NFL, if for no other reason than "who has the ball" would be a much much larger impact. |
![]() | Alex - But let history remember, that as free men, we chose to make it so! 03/18/2008 @ 01:20:04 PM |
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I think it would generally be less meaningful for the NFL because an interception in one end zone returned 100 yards for a TD is a 14 point swing in games that often have a combined total score of 30-60 points which indicates less predictability. You'd have to somehow factor in timeouts and the 2 minute warning too. Plus with scoring options of 1, 2, 3, and 6 you'd probably have to end up with some sort of step fuction to accommodate the different deficits. Edit: accommodate is a weird word |
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Alex screwed with this at 03/18/2008 1:21:28 pm |
![]() | PackOne - Take your shirt off, twist it 'round yo' hand...spin it like a helicopter. 03/18/2008 @ 04:06:31 PM |
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![]() | Scott - If you aren't enough without it, you'll never be enough with it. 03/19/2008 @ 07:14:00 PM |
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I think I'll just keep watching until the end. You math nerds can watch it how you want. |
![]() | Carlos44ec - 2079 Posts 03/20/2008 @ 07:55:53 AM |
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no kidding. Math and sports are interesting, but just like a joke- the more analisis you put it through the less funny/entertaining it becomes. |
![]() | Alex - 3619 Posts 03/20/2008 @ 12:37:44 PM |
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I think Math becomes more funny/entertaining, not less. |
![]() | Scott - 6225 Posts 03/20/2008 @ 06:03:41 PM |
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I actually tend to agree with Matt. My comment was mostly just for laughs. Baseball stats are by far the most entertaining thing to "manipulate" in all of sports. |
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